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There has yet to be a public debate among environmentalists about genetic engineering. Most of the scare stories that go around (Monarch caterpillars harmed by GM pollen!) have as much substance as urban legends about toxic rat urine on Coke can lids. Solid research is seldom reported widely, partly because no news is not news. A number of leading biologists in the U.S. are also leading environmentalists. I’ve asked them how worried they are about genetically engineered organisms. Their answer is “Not much,” because they know from their own work how robust wild ecologies are in defending against new genes, no matter how exotic. They don’t say so in public because they feel that entering the GM debate would strain relations with allies and would distract from their main focus, which is to research and defend biodiversity. The best way for doubters
to control a questionable new technology is to embrace it, lest it remain
wholly in the hands of enthusiasts who think there is nothing questionable
about it. I would love to see what a cadre of hard-over environmental scientists
could do with genetic engineering. Besides assuring the kind of transparency
needed for intelligent regulation, they could direct a powerful new tool at
some of the most vexed problems in the field. Now we come to the most
profound environmental problem of all, the one that trumps everything: global
climate change. Its effect on natural systems and on civilization will be
a universal permanent disaster. It may be slow and relentless—higher
temperature, rising oceans, more extreme weather getting progressively worse
over a century. Or it may be “abrupt climate change”: an increase
of fresh water in the north Atlantic shuts down the Gulf Stream within a decade,
and Europe freezes while the rest of the world gets drier and windier. (I
was involved in the 2003 Pentagon study on this matter, which spelled out
how a climate change like the one 8,200 years ago could occur suddenly.)
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